Re: 5/21 ELIAN - pmbg 107 Shouldn't have stalled after all
I'm going to stick my big fat nose in here and say I'm a little uncomfortable seeing such absolute advice about stalling and shooting. I'll also preface this with the fact that I have only looked at Elian's SS and have not read this condo every day, so I don't know what other advice has been given.
In a particular situation it's fine to say shoot a 107 or to shoot above a 50 if you have supplies. But it all depends on the previous values. I'd never shoot a 55 without previous values, and many times I've stalled in the 80-90 range based on his previous cycle trends.
Yes, looking at Elian's values the last cycle, Susie didn't need to stall but no one told her WHY she didn't need to ... because he was rolling mid-upper greens after a red AMPS, and then had a 107 PMPS. That's a decent predictor for an upcoming bounce. She had
somewhat similar situations on 5/9 and 5/14 that she could have drawn from ... one time she stalled, the other time she didn't. Elian went to the moon one time, and stayed in blues the other. (And one had nothing to do with the other.)
I hope that the day will come when I truly understand all of this. I shouldn't have stalled - now he's way up again. But he's so unpredictable ( at least to me) I just never know. :-(
Susie, none of us truly understand what a cat will do, so don't beat yourself up. We start to see trends with our kitties, but even then they throw us some spectacular surprises. You had concerns and you decided to keep Elian safe, and stalling an hour is
no big deal. You just got some more good data on what Elian was going to do this time around. If Elian is going to bounce, he's going to bounce, stall or not.
Anyway, I don't mean to create an issue here - I was just concerned to read absolute advice that a newer member may read without understanding the context.